Saturday, 21 May 2022

Australian Federal Election 2022

Done & dusted...almost. Sunday morning and some things still set to play out. 
At this stage at least, Labor doesn't yet have the numbers to hold a majority government but they might yet.
What's best for the nation, despite not being pro Labor ideology it's likely that its better for the nation if there is a majority Labor Government. 

With a hung parliament & Labor having to negotiate with a group of independents it will be a mission, a long hard mission. First hump to overcome, which independents to join up with. I don't expect Bob Katter will get a phone call to arrange an appointment with Prime Minister-Elect. But will the Teals get called in & will they be treated as a group, a party or will they all be lining up seperately & will they policy wise be independent of each other. Admittedly I haven't looked at them deeply but it will be interesting how they will each sit on a range of matters policy wise & whether or not they will "coincidentally" line up identical or not. If the new Labor Government requires only one or two cross benchers to form government it will be a quicker & easier matter as no doubt the independents will rush to the PM-elect and jostle for position. The Government will have more of the upper hand.

If Labor fails to get the required 76 seats & in fact needs 6 or 8 or more cross benchers to join them, then it will slow because then the PM will hold lesser clout. In that case, he could just point out what he wants, that there will be little or no concessions and he will simply hold out until the required numbers are reached. That would be the Bob Hawke approach, inside close doors, never fold & stay until others do. 
I don't think that's Albo but I don't know if Albo is in full control or if he is, whether he & his cabinet will operate Hawke style or some other style. Albo has a long history & it's not a staunch, strong immovable, never surrender approach like Hawke or even to some extent McGowan.

I am very much convinced we are a number of years behind the USA. They have a rise of conservatism & a return to values of decency, using facts not feelings and a wider feeling of discontent. Obama was very popular but really didn't deliver anywhere near his expectations and was more the Hollywood/Rock Star POTUS. 
Trump was the great disruptor and despite not being a fan of him, employment was well up under him. Black & Hispanic employment was up to unseen record levels under him. They did not declare war on anyone, they had the best political calm in the Middle East, even North Korea defrosted & Trump was the first POTUS to set foot on North Korean soil. 

In stark contrast, Biden has been quite the let down. I could make a long list but short list, he's getting more muddled, his son's laptop scandal or scandals turns out to be real, charges will be laid & the MSM did fail to crack that walnut open instead in their zeal to fall Trump buried it & some MSM commentators dismissed it as a Russian plot. Biden also decided he would select a deputy president but it had to be a female and black. He selected a high level judiciary candidate to office, selecting her because she was a woman and she was black. I think she is probably suitably qualified but when asked what is a woman & replying she's not a biologist it was pretty jaw dropping and the Press Secretary is leaving her post where she's struggled when she hasn't failed completely & goes to a mainstream media position as a political commentator. Biden's comment "...you ain't black" was (to steal a leftist stabby comment) an old rich white man telling black people what they must be. Its unsurprising there is a slowly growing number of Black Conservatives. 
The voices of Larry Elder, Candace Owen, Thomas Sowell to name just a few are going to not let up, they're going to resonate & its not because they're conservatives or because they're black...its because they're going for facts not feelings and they're pushing independent thinking where all Americans are Americans & not group should be pushed into a definition which hinges on perpetual victim

Slowly they are de-woking.
Australia is very much years behind. We're probably stuck in year 5 of Obama. In fact I found it curious some members of Conservative Parties loudly praised Obama's first presidential win...and yet never mentioned any policies whilst the WA Parliament was completely in another dimension. It was follow the trend...it was woke-lite.

Conservtism is slowly rising from the ashes organically in the USA & slowly they're setting stronger criteria on what a conservative actually is. This will spill over into the Republican party. We will see more actual criteria as to what a Conservative is. 

When it finally hits here, there will be some faux conservatives and other theatre props revising history to save their borrowed time bacon. Some will shape shift to be exactly what they vigourously opposed behind the scenes to maintain power & control. For some it will be too late, some won't budge and blame game will begin before the quick & the dead are seperated. The corporate psychopaths will quickly more to next career stepping stone. Board seats, high paid company appointments. For those conservatives in opposition, retiring is not good because a retired opposition MP has little or no connection with a cabinet. Frankly if you retire from politics you should not contact sitting MPs, lobby them or have any professional engagement with them for at least 5 maybe 10 years.
It opens the doors to money moving into parties and favours possible

MPs from one party did mock me when I made the comment 'A campaign begins a week after the results of an election are made official, so it should run 4 years federal, 3 years in WA'

I got mocked politely but gas lit like a crematoriam. I pointed out in plainer language that its about the lay members & the electors...if you aren't talking to more of them & setting policy to suit you won't build branch members & you won't build votes for your candidates. I added you shouldn't bow to whatever wind they blow but you use your party's values and standards to construct the solutions to the problems they put forward...and you stick to your values & standards & sell from there.

Sadly many MPs stick to the 4 & half day news cycle. See what's trending, react to whatever pops up & never set out short & long term strategic plans...cos you might have to stick to it. Its currently same in every party. See what's trending, start trending amongst the trending.

Now there's a claim that Fran Kelly (ABC) & others have made that the Teals are what used to be part of the "broad church" of the Liberal Party, that they're Moderate Liberals. I'll wait & see but I cannot see how anyone could think Zali Steggalls, by accounts from her ex-husband, a life long Greens voter is part of the Liberal Moderate political mind set.

I am reminded US Commentators like Bill Maher, Dave Rubin who were previously well set in the anti- Republican zone, not conservatives have pointed out they're liberals (the US lower case liberals, basically progressives, hostorically left leaning). That they haven't changed much at all but the Democrats have changed and got much harder left & they now find their idea of sensible position has remained, except its now more at home and held not by the left by by Conservatives.

Hell, even John Lydon from PIL (aka Johnny Rotten from the Sex Pistols) who was very much freedom centred & of the left says he now finds his views & stance are threatened by the left & he finds himself feeling more conservative. 
Now his music isn't for everyone, nor his views but one thing about John that can never be taken away from him. He's been authentic, genuinely himself, never bowed or bent to others...right or wrong he said what he thought, he'd thought long and very deeply before saying anything. Whether he's right or not is not the question, the fact is he's been a strong independent thinker & a very courageous person whether he's an ally or an opponent. 

Speaks volumes if he's concerned about authoritarian rule dominating him & others.
I don't think he'll celebrate the monarchy but he is concerned about how left the left is going and how working people are being used, decieved and then left behind.

Meanwhile here, all conservative parties need to regroup, go through the things I called for back just prior to the 2017 election.

Stop, Review, Reform, Recalibrate & then Reboot as REAL Conservatives.

Looks as if the Liberal Party will lead the way now when all others have fought very hard against a Return to Real Conservativism & then hit Reboot.
This is what the smart money will go for, hold up & adhere to...whilst the others will not to maintain their position & keep their woke credits. (Go Woke, Go Broke)


 

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