Monday 26 June 2023

What's Missing In WA Firearms Discussions

Firearms Reforms are important, so important that it needs to be done properly without any political fear mongering. Legislative Reforms must improve what is there & remove what is not working or is unfair or was wrongly legislated. It's not clear that's the focus in WA at present. Things are missing.

In fac a lot is missing, here is just some of it & it needs focused answers.

1) COVID Shut Downs - Gun shops were shut down during the COVID lockdowns. That has never actually been explained. If the media or the opposition can get some answers that'd be great. Lots of people are waiting.
In the case of any small family owned & operated business in a small country town that legally sold a few boxes of bullets per year as a service, their whole business had to close doors. They could not continue to trade even if they stopped selling ammunition. They lost income.
Why gunshops, small traders & even repairers had to close has never been explained.
This should have been focused on by the opposition & the media.

2) Armour Peircing Bullets - In pursuing further restrictions on lawful, licenced firearms owners Premier McGowan & Minister Papalia complained about "armour peircing bullets" 
Such bullets have never been made available to the public EVER. If there are such rounds in the state they are only available from 3 possible sources & no more. Just the three, 2 are in lawful possession, one is not. The Minister has not explained how many armour peircing rounds he thinks are out there or which source is breaking the law & providing them to criminals. Those sources?
  • WA Police
  • Australian Defence Forces
  • Illegal gun/ammunition smugglers.
Who's providing them to who exactly? If he keeps mentioning "armour peircing rounds" that are capable of penetrating WA Police armour, who are these people & what Intel does he have that this is now a serious imminent threat? 
This should have been focused on by the opposition & the media.

3) Ongoing Mental Health Checks - There is no research that even suggests mental health screening can prevent crimes. In fact even anti gun activists have cited that such testing is unreliable & is possibly dangerous as it cannot (quite rightly) predict future serious criminal behaviour. SOme clinical Psycologists have also pointed out they would need 10-20 clinical hours with a patient to establish a baseline understandign of a person before they would be able to make a professional diagnosis of a mental illness. Working on mid point of 15 hours & there being around 90,000 licenced firearms owners in WA thats over 1.3 million clinical hours ANNUALLY that will be required to detect serious mental illness. With those mental health professionals working an average 38 hour week, an additional 35,526 qualified mental health professionals will be required to join the workforce.
Forget the 35,526, where will the minister find an additional 526 staff qualified to make a full diagnosis?
This should have been focused on by the opposition & the media.

4) Ongoing Health Checks - The minister has since pushed the fade but & at last mention it was ongoing "health checks" which suggests GPs will perhaps be involved in identifying who needs to go onto a qualified clinical Psychologist/Psychiatrist.
The original reason for the Ongoing Mental Health Tests? The minister made a clear pronounced claim, well clear as a minister might make. The minister cited that of the 20 deaths by firearms in WA, 10 were "suggested" to have mental health issues. Yes, "suggested" is the words the minister used. 10 deaths out of 90,000 licenced firearms owners in WA was pushing for an additional 1.3 million mental health Professional's hours. We're since learning that of those 10 very tragic deaths half of them were serving Police Officers who took their own lives with their service firearms. I'm loathe to fact check this & frankly not sure where to look but if that's true then that does not affect nor should it be connected to the 90,000 licenced firearms owners who are not suicidal Police Officers. 
This is not legislative reform. This is not fit for purpose. This is either rank incompetence at the legislative level or its some other weird agenda built on the blood of dead WAPolice.
This should have been focused on by the opposition & the media.

5) Very Powerful Firearms (VPF) - This refers to the list of firearms now suddenly banned in WA. This one that has perplexed professional shooters, sporting/recreational shooters & the competition shooters. WA is the only jurisdiction that uses the VPF description and what's made even worse, there has been no criteria laid down at all. All attempts to find the actual technical specifications for a VPF are met with a stonewall. It would be better if not only the specs were made available but who was responsible for putting the list together.
First it was high calibre. Once it was pointed out that a "calibre" only refers to a projectiles diameter it was switched to power. Once it was pointed out that power needs to be defined, was it muzzle velocity or energy on impact because both can vary massively depending on the amount of powder used, the length of the barrel, the twist rate of the rifling, weather conditions like wind, the type of projectile, its ballistic coefficient. You can have a big calibre that is not all that powerful...but we don't know what the "power level" is that's the scary cut off.
Then most recently it was changed to being rounds that can be fired at police from a much greater distance, with much greater accuracy with much greater deadly effect.

Who are these people likely to shoot upon police from great but unspecified distances???
Where is the intel reports that this is now a much elevated risk factor for police all of a sudden???
Most are used for feral control or competition use. Others are purely collectibles. One that was on the list but later removed was the "55 Baby". It is a World War 2 firearm that is sought after by collectors because it wasn't very successful & as a result they're very rare. You cannot, nor could you ever purchase the ammuniton for it. If any did survive WW2 it'd be incredibly rare & wouldn't use gunpowder, it would use the highly corrosive cordite. Anyone who's spent $12,000+ buying a 55 Baby (there's one possibly 2 in WA, definitely one for sure) you sure wouldn't devalue it by firing it.
Its clear it was placed on the list without knowledge or research. It was just BIG to whoever the unanmed person or persons were who made the list. Probably from searching the list of licenced WA Firearms Owners.
That's not a good example of legislative reform
This should have been focused on by the opposition & the media.

6) Very Powerful Firearms (VPF) Pt 2 - Also on the banned list was the .50 BMG. It is a huge round. It is a large diameter & is very long range. Its also a favourite from Hollywood. I'm not sure if their expert research comes from Hollywood but I think anyone could be forgiven for thinking so.
They were used by civilians in WA in competitions & I believe (might be wrong) on only ONE club run rifle range in WA that is over 100kms east of Carnavon. This is elite level in both skill & cost. These rifles regularly start at $15,000.00
The ammunition is can cost anywhere from a cheap $15 a shot to $30 & rising fast. These are people with a lot of money & time invested in competing...in just travel & accomadation alone. I'm told they all have over the top secure storage with most having monitored alarms & videos. These are not crime figures.
They're now banned. They have never been used in ANY armed crime in WA ever. In fact we've been trying to find out but to date we haven't found one single crime committed with any of the VPFs in WA & possibly only one over in the eastern states. And that one was not a 50 BMG, it was one of the smaller rifles & even then I'm told it was unlicenced. So again, we have no idea why these are suddenly an elevated threat to the WA Public. No intel or statistics have been presented.
This should have been focused on by the opposition & the media.

7) Very Powerful Firearms (VPF) Pt 3 - In the demonising of the .50BMG again, armour peircing rounds were mentioned. That the .50 BMG is capable of firing these rounds. That is 100% correct. However the only place these will exist in Australia are in the Australian Defence Forces. Are they failing their security & ending up on the black market? We need to know what this is all based upon, what is the recent elevated threat?
Do WA Police have .50 BMG armour peircing rounds?
Until recently WA Police did not have a .50 BMG. I thought their largest was either a .338 Lapua or a 300WinMag & only then held by marksmen in the Tactical Response Group (I have no problem with that).
WA Police did recently purchase a .50 BMG & ammunition & its only ever been fired at a Press Conference attended by the then Premier Mark McGowan, Police Minsiter Paul Papalia & the then WA Police Commissioner (now WA Governor) Chris Dawson. All WA media in attendence it was fired at the Pinjar Rifle Range that is not rated for the .50 BMG. I was told (oppositon & media should check) that the club people running that range did not know a .50 BMG would be fired. It barely squeezes into the 6km safety envelope back ground that I'm told is required behind whatever target is fired at. Having said that, they were firing north and about the 6km mark out is the Pinjar Power Station & add on to that, the RAAF were advised to not fly whilst they were shooting. Yes, the RAAF were grounded whilst these politicians held this press conference showing the "50 cal" firing.
That's no less than $15,000 worth of rifle PLUS several thousands of dollars of rifle scope, special scope rings, bipod & an unknown amount of ammunition. 
Apparently WAPolice still have the firearm that really can only be fired in a regional/rural setting.
We're not sure who or what they expect to be shooting at, whether they have armour peircing rounds or whether all officers with access to it are under going regular ongoing mental health tests seeing the high level of WA Police Officers committing suicide. There was in the news the reported higher reporting of mental issues by police officers. The minsiter claimed that the higher levels was a result of reporting being less shameful & was just more people coming forward. He didn't say its no higher than normal or that the amount of people under stress & suffering mental issues was normal, but that was the inference.
This should have been focused on by the opposition & the media.

8) Limiting Guns Per Licenced Person
- This is apparently to lessen the amount of crime. This has not come in yet but its been pointed to by the minister.
There is no research to suggest that restricting gun numbers per licenced owner will reduce crime let alone specifically which crimes.

As mentioned months ago, there is no automatic connection between the number of guns & the amount of gun crime. It might seem easy to accept, more guns, more crime but many countries have guns outlawed & they still have gun crime.
Mexico in fact only has 2 gun shops in the entire country (actually I think its only one now).
It has a very regulated gun industry & highly regulated access for the general public & they have less guns per capita than Australia or Western Australia. How do they rate for gun crime then?


Gun Ownership
Australia -  14.5  Firearms per 100,000 people   ( #45 in the world)
Mexico    -   12.9 Firearms per 100,000 people   ( 
# 53 in the world)

Gun Deaths 
Australia - 0.10 deaths per 100,000 people       ( 
#156 in the world)
Mexico -   15.55 deaths per 100,000 people       ( 
# 10 in the world)

When I mentioned this to a person who wants all guns banned they accepted the statistic but said "You can't compare Mexico with here, they have many other factors like poverty & organised crime which are huge players in the death rates"

I pointed out, that is EXACTLY my point. There are other factors driving the gun crime rate here & in Mexico, its not automatically the amount of guns per capita. That is an entirely flawed argument by the WA Minister of Police.
This should have been focused on by the opposition & the media.

9) Public & Stakeholder Consultation - At present there is very little. The Sporting Shooters Association of Australia (WA) is being excluded from input. Also excluded is the WA Firearms Traders Association.
Also excluded is WA Grain Growers. Also excluded is the WA Firearms Community Alliance (WAFCA) which the SSAA(WA), the WAFTA & WAGG among many others are members of.
This makes no sense at all.
This should have been focused on by the opposition & the media.

Should point out in the past groups have been able to forward reform initiatives & they have been accepted & implemented. However many have not and since the McGowan Government won control of both houses of Parliament the doors are not opening. Those groups that have been invited to meet with the minister are invited & attend one at a time with the usual result of being a formal information session of what is to happen, not about seeking views & input from stakeholders.
This is not going to bode well for wise legislation or sensible fit for purpose reforms that deliver a decent outcome
This should have been focused on by the opposition & the media.

We should point out that the minister makes mention of the now banned VPF listed rifles & said in other countries they're used to shoot large animals like bears or rhinos, that we don't have those animals in WA. He should be asked which of those firearms are used to shoot those large animals...some are collector firearms & shoot nothing at all. Others are competition rifles & the ones remaining are used for pest control in WA. He needs to be fully open, honest & transperant and point that out. Instead he linked a suggestion of a threat to police. Who exactly is thought to be likely shooting police in WA with these firearms? These lawful owners or criminals who have illegal possession of these same types of firearms?
It really doesn't make sense but it makes for a great political optic in the news.
This should have been focused on by the opposition & the media

9) See whats missing from reforms & what wise advocates have asked for thats still missing. You still cannot post firearms & parts throughout WA & courier services are extremely limited. One Dealer had couriered a firearm over 1000kims because Aust Post won't touch them in WA...only WA. The courier sent parcel had to be returned to Perth then resent. so it travelled 3000+kms before the owner could pick it up. Posted, it'd wait in storage until picked up, fraction of the price.
Your .22 rifle is worn or you just want a newer better one...you have to sell your old one THEN apply for a new one with the full application process, wait time fr approval & processing plus fees. No simple cheap, like for like trade in process over the counter exchange. These are just some of things the WA Firearms Community Alliance is pushing for but other lesser equipped advocates are not. 

Tuesday 13 June 2023

 Here's how good (not good) the local MP for Albany is. Good with the spin & the pamphlets but it's devilish dire when you look at the devil in the lack of her detail. I don't blame her personally, she's a socialist in the WA Labor Party. She cannot & will not cross the floor on a vote in the best interests of the electorate because she'd be in th eouter within the Party. That would mean she'd also lose her Deputy Speaker role which adds to the salary & at the next election she'd be targetted. Its not just a matter of her risking her pre-selection at the next election, if she crosses the floor or exhibits independent thinking out loud she would be automatically expelled from the party. 

This flyer she's sent out, well I'd be very surprised if she was across much of the detail.

The Premier was clear (before jumping ship) that coal would be needed until 2030. Sadly though the Premier had to import coal from NSW for the Collie Coal Fired Power Station...despite the coal mine next door getting a huge taxpayer cash injection.

How much? We still don't know but Griffin Coal had debts around $1.4 Billion to investors, the undisclosed cash injection still stands out as completely bizarre
From the ABC report...

The cash — which would effectively act as a loan — would "stabilise its Collie operations and provide certainty for the workforce and community," the government said in a statement. 

Rebecca would probably prefer you to focus on Labor giving households $400 & that the power bill assistence now totals $1400 over 3 years. It was not gift. Its our money. The money paid to Griffin Coal, also our money. Proper management might have prevented the need for the importing coal. Proper consideration about how much a shortfall renewables deliver might have seen us spend money on fixing & upgrading the power station or building a nuclear.

The idea they stopped privatising energy assets, which, where, when?
Sure not managed well by the Labor Government.

Regional Air Cap...good luck getting that because you have to pre book 30 days in advance. 2 recent emeergency trips to Perth, out of luck. I await Rebecca explaining how many seats total are on those flights since its introduction & show exactly how many capped seats were on offer, how many were taken up & how many vacant seats were on each flight. That means proper data to show the real truth...so no chance

The training one was intriguing. All sounds great. Employment Rate is intriuging with as little as 2 hours a week work is classed as "employed" whilst in Albany the TAFE Training Course for nursing was cancelled.

The big numbers to help EDs & reduce ramping...no actual definitive number on what is going into Albany.

4000 houses promised & 1200 delivered...where???
There are more empty houses through lack of maintanece then the number of new ones being brought online. She's done, or rather the governments done a shifty. We're worse off & we're told to be happy & encouraged. Housing minister is a total failure.

Royalty for Regions spending...there's no indication what, where & how much after a continued run of R4R paying for normal items in ministries, general expenditure to cost shift the funds to other projects elsewhere. This is smoke & mirrors.

"Whether its funding for cost of living relief, health, houding or specific initiatives like agriculture and national parks - we're supporting regional WA."

That claim is patently false. Its also the only reference to Agriculture. Labor said it supported Live Export & yet transitioning away from it still remains in the Party's platform & no Labor MP has pushed for it to be removed. No Labor MP attended ANY of the Live Export Transition Meetings...none. Even when one meeting was less that 400 metres from Rebecca's office. The Ag Minister Jackie Jarvis said she didn't attend because she wasn't made aware of the meetings...only latter to say she didn't attend because she didn't want it to be all about her. How does that work, what's "about her" mean? Does she mean she'd actually have to be very clear & very public about what she's doing or where she stands? Also not present was Jane Kelsbie, Sally Talbot all from this region.

Then there was rthe Foot & Mouth Disease emergency public meetings. No Labor MPs. NeitherRebecca Stephens nor then Ag Minister Alannah McTiernan, nor then upcoming Ag Minsiter Jackie Jarvis, Sally Talbot or Jane Kelsbie...the meeting was in Mt Barker which is Jane Kelsbie's electorate.

And of course there's the other big one...

Alannah McTiernan revealed she made a deal with then Premier Mark McGowan that being she gave in and said she would run in the last election but only serve 2 years of her 4 year term. Something she never told ANY electors during her campaign. Her replacement, another quality Labor Pre-selection pick ended up with the seat but was expelled after months of indecison over who would step up. The person did & then was in court with many charges of breaching restrainign orders. Labor expelled him & if we had any possible representation in the Labor Party we now have less. In fact as Alannah was a minister we in theory had representation in cabinet. As it turns out it won't make any difference as McTiernan was not representing the electors.

Like all Labor MPs including Rebecca Stephens they do not represent the electorate in parliament, they only represent their Socialist party in the electorate. 
But good luck getting them to a public meeting.
They do not go.

When People In The West Praise Socialism, It's a Bit Like...

...when children play wars, jump in holes with sticks they pretend are guns, throw pretend grenades & say they love war versus the real thing kids their age may have to witness, live through & suffer in actual war zones. Its not real, its not fun & whether its kids or westerners it is extolling the virtues of something and ignoring the messy bad bits.

Socialism vs Communism is another argument itself but seems a lot thing Socialism is the first step to communism.

First, don't forget the book people refer to "The Communist Manifesto" was jointly written between Marx & Engels & that was released in 1848. So now, in 2023 that book is 175 years. We're still yet to see a sovereign government anywhere now or since then that ran its nation, its economy, its society like that successfully & without mass theft, economic disaster, loss of normal human and individual rights, wide spread corruption, widespread false imprisonment (often without charge), abolition of the right to worship/religion and the big one...outright government sanctioned genocide. 

So Socialism vs Communism seems a point of conjecture for most but seems kind more than likely Socialism is the transition phase where capitalism still exists, personal ownership exists to a very limited extents and the government is (in theory at least) controlled not so much by the people, but specifically by the working class. Some might warm to a watered down version of that, some might want full communism, but even with that transitional socialist model the means of production & the ownership of that which we might consider to be a wealth creator...that's not owned by an individual taking risk or a group of individuals (called a company). Its owned, managed & controlled by the government. (We need to return to this point, jus tmarking it)

Its also worth remembering that The Communist Manifesto is considered, even by its critics to be "not all wrong" but that that doesn't mean there's enough kernals of good to outweigh the pesky parts of it that are diabolical & manifestly wrong. It means if you could delete all the bad & very bad & that which would lead to evil the 23 page book/pamphlet might be reduced to a very short half page brochure.

The other part worth remembering is The Communsit Manifesto is considered by some to be a philosphical work & by others to be a political work. Maybe. It's pretty clear when you read it & remember it was in the middle of the 19th century.
It was a call to revolution. They had decided what was needed & it wasn't going to be achieved in that age without armed struggle.
Was the accepted establishment at the time completely good?
Pick a country in the mid 1800s & the answer would likely be no. 
Was Communism likely to be the bright, good & fair replacement?
No and that's no as in never, not then, not now & not anytime in human history.

One other thing...its very badly written then & I think they as writers are very much like many of those who are its fans. Deeply committed, deeply passionate for that type of change, many willing to kill & die for a society model that they would learn to hate were they actually required to live under it. Its deeply anti-establishment & when the youthful angry, especially those attending higher learning come into contact with it as they're looking to form a mode of rebellious identity...yes it has appeal at the front door.
Many academics lean towards some sort of version of socialism. Outside unversities (lecturers & students) many working class on the tools have over the decades leaned its way. Irony being many people suffer under socialism & communism...especially the academics, the students & the working class.
The greatest advantage goes to the leaders of the military & police & those in political ruling class.
When there's a revolution all fighting for Marxist offshoot must think they're going to end up with a really sweet life at the top of the society heirachy. The bad news is, those most influential, those able to rouse fools to slaughter, those able to teach people to think a particular way have two paths. A very very small percentage are quickly brought into the ruling class the rest are rounded up, reeducated until they're broken and/or destroyed, imprisoned until they're broken and/or destroyed and don't forget, destroyed means murdered.

So there's that.

Then in the West it will eventually come, the claim that "If it weren't for Socialism you wouldn't have..."
In Australia I have heard the obvious one Medicare, but I have also heard old age & disability pensions, free university education, better wage out comes & sometimes (I kid you not) the wild ones pop up. The defence of the nation & society by the military & police and fire fighters, nurses...

None of these things are within the writings of Marx. Hospitals, soldiers, nurses pre-dated Marx.
Have government managing fire fighting is smart, not socialist. Medicare is not Marxist or we'd see incredible healthcare in non Western non capitalist nations. 

Here, hospitals are not built by government builders, fitted out with government plumbers, painters, electricians. Its not socialist.

The other big one that comes up is the Norwegian Fund.
To correct the most common lie, Norway is not a socialist country. Its a market based economy.
Government Pension Fund of Norway or Statens pensjonsfond is actually 2 funds but never mind that.
Its actually very non socialist in principle in that it is one of the largest investment funds in the world.
Yes. It invests its money in non Marxist things, like property & listed companies to earn an ongoing profit for their nation...although in 2023 it made a multi million dollar loss. Without capitalism no one would buy their oil reserves & they would not be able to invest any money earned of it if they did.
It being socialism stacks up like say a fat stack of dead cats is actually a chocolate powered device for mass transportation to the moon.

Its banged on about that we should do the same, that we bow to OPEC blah blah.

Norway - The Satens pensjonsfond has been going since 1967. Its a simple 55% Special tax on resource profits PLUS their 20% Corporate Tax. 

Simple as that is their share of the oil & gas returns will probably amount to a $209Billion of a 63% cut of the industry's revenue.

Australia - In the late 80s The Hawke Labor Government created the PRRT (Petroleum Resource Rent Tax)
It taxes oil extraction with a 40% tax and a 30% company tax rate that in theory at least turns out to be a 58% return.
So we have a sort of similar thing...in 2021/22 the PRRT generated a record low $900 Million & "continues to deliver only a circa-1 percent royalty - despite $11 Billion spent on fossil fuel subsidies"

So the very poor outcome in the Australian version, it looks like it is run by socialists or by those paying the taxes...