So most countries are off to Glasgow, targets will be set & we assume most will sign on. We'll see how that shakes out. Some of the bigger emitters aren't going, no restrictions will apply to them until 2030 anyway & if they ignore them, good luck bringing them into line.
Sideline problem is when the bigger emitters aren't so much 3rd World Countries, the biggest are 2nd world countries. China, Russia and strangely mostly Marxist led to some extent.
They will be the big elephant in the room.
Countries where the State rules everything and individual rights are abolished will be the problem. In these nations they have enjoyed huge economic growth over past decades. But in the case of China, communist as it may well claim to be, it does not and never has distribute wealth to all its citizens. It has not ever re-distributed the means of production to everyone. Instead the state approves or disapproves a venture. Is there corruption? Imagine if starting a business here in Australia or WA required heavy consideration by the very small, extremely powerful & authoratarian ruling class before approval or rejection is made.
Communism in China requires non stop economic growth. Non stop.
It did in Cuba too but it was a very small island nation with few natural resources, no hordes of low paid workers in thousands of manufacturing firms...from sweat shop to factory floor. It really couldn't rise out of 3rd world under Castro, not without support from Russia and others.
China is different, it has replaced a lot of manufacturing industries worldwide. Staff are not just cheap, they're plentiful and sadly disposable in every sense of the word.
Its a business model the west cannot compete with. It is in effect an nation of sweatshop labor unless you're at the top where the wealth is again centralised.
So its communist by name, but its worse than free market. You may not pack & move to start a small business. You have virtually no individual rights like a Westerner. If you want to ask for those rights in order to be free to flourish, chances up you will be jailed for subversion or you will recieve an express ticket to meet your maker.
Is it legal? That state rules everything, everything the state does is legal. Everything.
Is it immoral? Its not a country running any moral code beyond the state is all, nothing worthwhile exists outside the state. So, the state can do anything at all & technically in their current law & culture it can never be legitmately called unlawful or immoral.
The state is God.
China's economy like all communist regimes is a smouldering house of cards and big winds are approaching. Collapse is not only inevitable, its unavoidable. Only constant growth can delay the collapse. Right now, their economy is still dining out on artifically growth.
Do you think China, a communist country intent on redistribution of wealth, the means & ownership of production would again be #2 country for billionaires & yet no Chinese citizen is permitted to own land and rural poverty is extreme.
It the big end of town is totally controlled by the militarised end of town.
For growth to continue, they cannot afford to match the emissions progress of other countries. So they won't.
Marxist countries, any of them are charactierised by full state control. Communism, Socialism, Marxism, Fascism, Nazis...all need supreme control wrested in the state, individual rights extinguished or near extinguished and dissent will be brutally crushed. That is the Marxist cat, the rest is just different stripes.
In the world economy our biggest threat is the artifical economies of far left governments. They will remain the biggest polluters and emitters. They will be exempted the longest if not always to keep the cards in a semblence of a house like structure.This will include movement. You cannot move communist countries to the right, towards proper individual rights and market economy so to keep things afloat you have to slowly move the west to the Communist model and break Agriculture, small business & slowly remove their rights, increase their burden.
Think we're seeing that?
Look at who the financial imposts & technical changes are being imposed on now and on whom the most. Those in western economies that are at primary end, that are small businesses, that are below the big end of town.
If you're not with a very large SME or bigger & even then somewhat up the food chain, good luck keeping your job if it can't be exported to a country who can do your job for a fraction of the cost, have no emissions taxes or costs and few rules to go by.
Ironically people forget Animal Farm. Its a predictive text. Communism ( or its different striped cats from the same litter) will replace a monarchy or republic only to create a deeply corrupt State that will control everything and if you're in their small murderous ruling class or approved by them you will be a billionaire. It will be an artificial economic boom requiring state brutalism to keep it running and artifical growth to sustain it.
If China ever has another revolution it will be a zombie apocalypse. It needs to avoid that & their problem is, their train wreck has just left the station, the inevitable is coming, they need to interfere to keep the artificial economy going as long as possible/.
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